Robin van Persie - 4 reasons to leave him out of your squad

FPL Dugout’s Matt, a regular visitor, has written this piece on Robin van Persie, so I’m sharing it with you, the FPL Dugout community. Thoughts and comments welcome.

The news that RVP has signed for Man Utd has shaken the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) world. In the 12 hours immediately after the news was announced the % of teams that had selected him increased from 10% to 13%. There is clear momentum behind the player and he is now well on course to find his way into 20% of squads for the start of the season.

Clearly there are several reasons why managers might be attracted to him. In the last two seasons he has scored at a rate of a goal per game, no-one else can boast such a record. Add to that the numerous assists and bonus points he certainly packs a mean fantasy punch.

But there are a few reasons to be cautious and I would like to expore these in more detail.

1. Pre-season

Due to the extended transfer negotiations the player has had little or no pre-season. Certainly he will be lacking in match fitness and there are now no opportunities to get any minutes under his belt before Man Utd’s first game at Everton at the weekend.

RVP is someone who has suffered injury problems in the past and it is unlikly that Fergie will push him too hard early in the season and risk an injury lay off.

2. Productiveness

It is expected that RVP and Rooney will join up to form one of the most lethal partnerships in the league. The big question is how will the goals be shared out?

At Arsenal RVP was involved in every attacking move, resulting in a high output. At Man Utd he can expect to share the goals with numerous other attacking players.

Then there is the question of penalties and free kicks, again at Arsenal he enjoyed a monopoly on these. Man Utd have 3-4 players who can take these and therefore you have to expect these good scoring opportunities will be shared out.

Lastly, when fit he played almost every game for Arsenal, and was rarely substituted. Fergie has more flexibility in his squad and will rotate to keep players fresh. It is unlikely that we will see RVP for the away matches at places like Wigan just before a key European night. If you’re not on the pitch, you can’t score points!

3. Value

£13.0m makes RVP comfortably the most expensive player in the game. If he was at Arsenal, this might reflect fair value. For the reasons listed above I believe he is overpriced.

Even if he matches the performance of last season it is unlikely that his value will increase significantly. Therefore starting the season out with him represents a major risk in terms of reducing the value of your squad, which could hurt in the long run.

4. Start

Man Utd have arguably the toughest start to the season of any of the big clubs. In the first ten games they play; away at Goodison, away at Anfield, home v Spurs, away at Chelsea and home v Arsenal. Even if he plays in these matches, they are not going to be free scoring affairs and production will not be easy to come by.

In summary, while he has undoubted fantasy pedigree I think the balance of favour is against selecting RVP from the start this season.

The prudent approach is to let him settle in at Man Utd and judge how Fergie will use him and how much his production changes.

I for one will have a keen eye on him and in particular around early November when Man Utd have a much better run of games. His value should be less at that point too.